Connect with us

Hi, what are you looking for?

Economy

Factbox-Brokerages see ‘uncertain’ 2025 on worries over potential Trump tariffs

(Reuters) – Uncertainties around U.S. policies may slow global economic growth modestly in 2025, according to major brokerages. They expect U.S. President-elect Donald Trump’s proposed tariffs to fuel volatility across global markets, spurring inflationary pressures and, in turn, limiting the scope for major central banks to ease monetary policy.

World economies and equity markets have had a robust year, with global growth expected to average 3.1% this year, a Reuters poll published in October showed.

Following are forecasts from some top banks on economic growth, inflation and the performance of major asset classes in 2025:

Forecasts for stocks, currencies and bonds:

Brokerage S&P 500 US 10-year EUR/USD USD/JPY USD/CNY

target yield target

UBS Global 6400 3.80 1.04 157.0 7.60

Research

Goldman Sachs 6500 (next 4.25%(next 1.03(next 159(next 7.50(next

12-months) 12-months) 12-months 12-months 12-months)

) )

Nomura 135 6.93

Barclays (LON:BARC)

Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) 6500

J.P.Morgan 4.10 (Q3’25)

U.S. Inflation:

U.S. inflation (annual Y/Y for 2025)

Brokerage Headline CPI Core PCE

Goldman Sachs 2.5% 2.4%

J.P.Morgan 2.4% 2.3%

Morgan Stanley 2.3% 2.5% (4Q/4Q)

Barclays 2.3% 2.5%

Real GDP Growth:

Real GDP growth forecasts for 2025

Brokerage GLOBAL U.S. CHINA EURO AREA UK INDIA

UBS Global 2.9% 1.9% 4.0% 0.9% 1.5% 6.3% (for

Research FY 26)

Goldman Sachs 2.7% 2.5% 4.5% 0.8% 1.3% 6.3%

Barclays 3.0% 2.1% 4% 0.7% 1.2% 7.2%

Morgan Stanley 3.0% 2.1% 4.0% 1.0% 1.4% 6.5%

(FY25/FY2

6)

J.P.Morgan 2.4% 2.2% 3.9% 0.8% 1.0% 6.0%

Citigroup (NYSE:C) 1.1% 1.0%

Nomura 4.0% 6.9%

This post appeared first on investing.com

You May Also Like

Stock

Back in the day, I used to look at the weekly S&P 500 chart every weekend and ask myself the same three questions:What is...

Investing

In the days since President-elect Donald Trump won the presidential race, Nicole Bivens Collinson’s phone has barely stopped ringing. Collinson, who helps lead the...

Investing

Netflix’s cheaper, ad-supported tier has reached 70 million global monthly active users two years after it was launched. The company said Tuesday more than...

Editor's Pick

Adani Group shares experienced a rebound on Monday, recovering from last week’s steep losses sparked by U.S. criminal charges against Chairman Gautam Adani and...



Disclaimer: Techreportdiversity.com, its managers, its employees, and assigns (collectively “The Company”) do not make any guarantee or warranty about what is advertised above. Information provided by this website is for research purposes only and should not be considered as personalized financial advice. The Company is not affiliated with, nor does it receive compensation from, any specific security. The Company is not registered or licensed by any governing body in any jurisdiction to give investing advice or provide investment recommendation. Any investments recommended here should be taken into consideration only after consulting with your investment advisor and after reviewing the prospectus or financial statements of the company.


Copyright © 2024 Techreportdiversity.com